Maine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Maine-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 77% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.7 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 46%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription | 40.7% | 25.0% | 19.1% | 11.8% |
| Provincial averageMaine-et-Loire | 32.8%+7.8 | 11.1%+13.9 | 24.5%−5.5 | 27.3%−15.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.7 | 12.2%+12.8 | 29.0%−10.0 | 17.0%−5.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Anne-Laure BLIN · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard BOURGEAULT | RN and allies | 18,344 | 37.8 |
| Anne-Laure BLIN Elected | LR and allies | 11,572 | 23.9 |
| Patrick ALEXANDRE | Left (NFP) | 9,656 | 19.9 |
| Simon HOLLEY | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,168 | 16.9 |
| Patricia PEILLON | Far left | 741 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Sarthe — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Maine-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Maine-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Sarthe — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated