Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Indre-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 8%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription | 39.4% | 23.3% | 21.7% | 12.5% |
| Provincial averageIndre-et-Loire | 34.7%+4.7 | 29.4%−6.2 | 23.7%−2.1 | 7.7%+4.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+3.4 | 29.0%−5.8 | 17.0%+4.7 | 12.2%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sabine THILLAYE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 16.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| François DUCAMP | RN and allies | 21,118 | 35.3 |
| Sabine THILLAYE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,025 | 26.8 |
| Marina COCCIA | Left (NFP) | 14,457 | 24.1 |
| Constance BALES | LR and allies | 6,805 | 11.4 |
| David BILLON | RN and allies | 809 | 1.4 |
| Christine DELARUE | Far left | 700 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Sarthe — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Sarthe — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Maine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated