Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Indre-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription | 47.9% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Provincial averageIndre-et-Loire | 29.4%+18.5 | 34.7%−11.8 | 23.7%−4.6 | 7.7%−0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+18.9 | 36.0%−13.1 | 17.0%+2.1 | 12.2%−5.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Charles FOURNIER · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 25.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles FOURNIER Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,250 | 45.3 |
| Benoist PIERRE | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,333 | 24.2 |
| Lisa GARBAY | RN and allies | 8,870 | 18.9 |
| Lucas JANER | LR and allies | 2,774 | 5.9 |
| Alain DAYAN | Left (NFP) | 1,690 | 3.6 |
| Arnaud OSSART | RN and allies | 496 | 1.1 |
| Thomas JOUHANNAUD | Far left | 473 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Sarthe — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loir-et-Cher — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated