Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Indre-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 62% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.8 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 70%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription | 36.5% | 27.8% | 24.7% | 8.3% |
| Provincial averageIndre-et-Loire | 34.7%+1.8 | 23.7%+4.0 | 29.4%−4.7 | 3.2%+5.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+0.6 | 17.0%+10.8 | 29.0%−4.3 | 3.9%+4.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Henri ALFANDARI · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 8.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henri ALFANDARI Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 22,174 | 32.9 |
| Jules ROBIN | RN and allies | 21,724 | 32.2 |
| Sandra BARBIER | Left (NFP) | 17,240 | 25.6 |
| Emmanuel FRANÇOIS | Others | 3,248 | 4.8 |
| Christophe LEGENDRE | Far left | 1,060 | 1.6 |
| Amin BRIMOU | Others | 1,004 | 1.5 |
| Xavier BOURIN | RN and allies | 1,003 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Loir-et-Cher — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Indre — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated