Indre — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Indre
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 87% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 26%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indre — 1ère circonscription | 44.5% | 30.0% | 20.8% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageIndre | 43.4%+1.0 | 15.0%+15.0 | 21.2%−0.4 | 2.6%−0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+8.5 | 17.0%+13.0 | 29.0%−8.2 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
François JOLIVET · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mylène WUNSCH | RN and allies | 19,755 | 40.2 |
| François JOLIVET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,256 | 35.1 |
| Eloïse GONZALEZ | Left (NFP) | 10,658 | 21.7 |
| Véronique GELINAUD | Far left | 756 | 1.5 |
| Marie-Odile TRUSCH | RN and allies | 716 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Indre — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Vienne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Loir-et-Cher — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Vienne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated