Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Indre-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 60% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.5 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 81%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription | 39.0% | 27.5% | 22.5% | 7.7% |
| Provincial averageIndre-et-Loire | 34.7%+4.3 | 23.7%+3.8 | 29.4%−7.0 | 7.7% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+3.0 | 17.0%+10.5 | 29.0%−6.6 | 12.2%−4.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Daniel LABARONNE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corine FOUGERON | RN and allies | 22,396 | 35.1 |
| Daniel LABARONNE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,801 | 32.6 |
| Christelle GOBERT | Left (NFP) | 14,891 | 23.3 |
| Maxime MAINTIER | LR and allies | 4,123 | 6.5 |
| Anne BRUNET | Far left | 938 | 1.5 |
| Philippe SAINTIGNAN | RN and allies | 688 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Loir-et-Cher — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Loir-et-Cher — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated