Loir-et-Cher — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loir-et-Cher
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 17%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loir-et-Cher — 3ème circonscription | 45.2% | 31.1% | 18.7% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageLoir-et-Cher | 45.5%−0.3 | 21.9%+9.2 | 17.0%+1.7 | 2.0%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.2 | 17.0%+14.1 | 29.0%−10.3 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christophe MARION · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia DE OLIVEIRA | RN and allies | 22,682 | 41.1 |
| Christophe MARION Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,014 | 36.2 |
| Noé PETIT | Left (NFP) | 10,795 | 19.5 |
| Claude LAMY | Far left | 986 | 1.8 |
| Alexandre BONNASSIEUX | RN and allies | 748 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loir-et-Cher — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Eure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure-et-Loir — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loiret — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated