Eure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Eure-et-Loir
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription | 46.5% | 31.0% | 13.8% | 6.7% |
| Provincial averageEure-et-Loir | 43.5%+3.0 | 23.8%+7.2 | 12.6%+1.2 | 2.7%+4.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.5 | 17.0%+14.0 | 12.2%+1.6 | 1.1%+5.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Harold HUWART · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe BAY | RN and allies | 19,178 | 42.4 |
| Harold HUWART Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,439 | 36.4 |
| Rémi MARTIAL | LR and allies | 5,748 | 12.7 |
| Vincent CHEVROLLIER | Far left | 3,107 | 6.9 |
| Eric LAQUA | RN and allies | 751 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Eure-et-Loir — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure-et-Loir — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure-et-Loir — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Loir-et-Cher — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Orne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated