Eure-et-Loir — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Eure-et-Loir
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 90% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 20%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eure-et-Loir — 2ème circonscription | 42.2% | 27.0% | 24.7% | 2.3% |
| Provincial averageEure-et-Loir | 43.5%−1.4 | 12.6%+14.4 | 15.3%+9.4 | 23.8%−21.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+6.2 | 12.2%+14.8 | 29.0%−4.3 | 17.0%−14.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Olivier MARLEIX · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier DUBOIS | RN and allies | 17,908 | 38.3 |
| Olivier MARLEIX Elected | LR and allies | 12,109 | 25.9 |
| Nadia FAVERIS | Left (NFP) | 11,956 | 25.6 |
| Florent MAZY | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,381 | 7.2 |
| Béatrice JAFFRENOU | Far left | 535 | 1.2 |
| Florence ROGÉ | RN and allies | 477 | 1.0 |
| Adrien DENIS | Far left | 357 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Eure — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure-et-Loir — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Eure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Yvelines — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure-et-Loir — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated