Eure — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Eure
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eure — 2ème circonscription | 47.4% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 13.0% |
| Provincial averageEure | 48.9%−1.5 | 22.0%−1.6 | 5.6%+10.5 | 20.0%−7.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+11.5 | 29.0%−8.6 | 12.2%+3.9 | 17.0%−4.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Katiana LEVAVASSEUR · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 27.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katiana LEVAVASSEUR Elected | RN and allies | 22,952 | 43.6 |
| Timour VEYRI | Left (NFP) | 11,185 | 21.3 |
| Isabelle COLLIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 9,225 | 17.5 |
| Stéphanie AUGER | LR and allies | 6,202 | 11.8 |
| Edouard BAUDE | LR and allies | 1,658 | 3.2 |
| Mélanie PEYRAUD | Far left | 614 | 1.2 |
| Laurence BRÉLY | RN and allies | 558 | 1.1 |
| Laure Anne GODARD | Centre (Ensemble) | 242 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Eure — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated