Eure — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Eure
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eure — 3ème circonscription | 52.8% | 27.2% | 15.1% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageEure | 48.9%+3.9 | 20.0%+7.2 | 22.0%−6.9 | 2.2%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+16.9 | 17.0%+10.2 | 29.0%−13.9 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Kévin MAUVIEUX · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 25.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kévin MAUVIEUX Elected | RN and allies | 28,012 | 48.9 |
| Marie TAMARELLE VERHAEGHE | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,238 | 21.4 |
| Jean-Christophe TURPIN | Left (NFP) | 9,147 | 16.0 |
| Thomas ELEXHAUSER | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,259 | 10.9 |
| Marie-Noëlle HUARD | Far left | 963 | 1.7 |
| Didier DARIC | RN and allies | 691 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Eure — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated