Seine-Maritime — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Maritime — 9ème circonscription | 48.3% | 27.6% | 17.7% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Maritime | 39.3%+9.0 | 18.5%+9.1 | 31.7%−14.0 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+12.3 | 17.0%+10.6 | 29.0%−11.4 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Marie-Agnès POUSSIER-WINSBACK · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 20.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas POTIER | RN and allies | 28,528 | 44.6 |
| Marie-Agnès POUSSIER-WINSBACK Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,528 | 32.1 |
| Christiane ROUXEL | Left (NFP) | 11,845 | 18.5 |
| René PINATO | Far left | 1,122 | 1.8 |
| Patrick BUCOURT | Sovereignists | 967 | 1.5 |
| Christophe ROS | RN and allies | 615 | 1.0 |
| Aude DE CASTET | Centre (Ensemble) | 392 | 0.6 |
| Solène MOREL | Left (NFP) | 1 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Maritime — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Seine-Maritime — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Seine-Maritime — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated