Seine-Maritime — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 45% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.5 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 93%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Maritime — 7ème circonscription | 32.5% | 30.0% | 29.7% | 3.9% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Maritime | 39.3%−6.8 | 31.7%−1.7 | 18.5%+11.2 | 6.6%−2.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−3.5 | 29.0%+1.0 | 17.0%+12.7 | 12.2%−8.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Agnès FIRMIN LE BODO · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 2.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agnès FIRMIN LE BODO Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,734 | 34.8 |
| Anaïs THOMAS | RN and allies | 16,221 | 28.6 |
| Florence MARTIN PÉRÉON | Left (NFP) | 16,211 | 28.6 |
| Jacques FORESTIER | LR and allies | 1,489 | 2.6 |
| Catherine OMONT | Left (NFP) | 1,292 | 2.3 |
| Jean-Paul MACÉ | Far left | 610 | 1.1 |
| Isabelle DUCOEURJOLY | RN and allies | 553 | 1.0 |
| Véronique DE LA BROSSE | Sovereignists | 541 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Maritime — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Calvados — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated