Seine-Maritime — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Maritime — 8ème circonscription | 41.8% | 34.2% | 16.2% | 4.5% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Maritime | 31.7%+10.1 | 39.3%−5.1 | 18.5%−2.3 | 6.6%−2.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+12.8 | 36.0%−1.8 | 17.0%−0.8 | 12.2%−7.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Paul LECOQ · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 7.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Paul LECOQ Elected | Left (NFP) | 16,205 | 42.8 |
| Isabelle LE COZ | RN and allies | 11,855 | 31.3 |
| Régis DEBONS | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,040 | 21.2 |
| Benoit NAOUS | LR and allies | 1,245 | 3.3 |
| Magali CAUCHOIS | Far left | 504 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Maritime — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Seine-Maritime — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Eure — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Calvados — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated