Loiret — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loiret
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 93% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 15%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loiret — 2ème circonscription | 37.2% | 31.0% | 18.1% | 9.1% |
| Provincial averageLoiret | 42.3%−5.1 | 24.5%+6.5 | 17.3%+0.8 | 11.9%−2.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.2 | 29.0%+2.0 | 17.0%+1.1 | 12.2%−3.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Emmanuel DUPLESSY · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 6.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elodie BABIN | RN and allies | 18,957 | 32.9 |
| Emmanuel DUPLESSY Elected | Left (NFP) | 16,148 | 28.0 |
| Caroline JANVIER | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,263 | 23.0 |
| Cyril COLAS | LR and allies | 4,527 | 7.9 |
| Yann CHAILLOU | Left (NFP) | 1,951 | 3.4 |
| Bruno CARRANI | Greens | 1,474 | 2.6 |
| Marie-Odile DUVILLARD | RN and allies | 716 | 1.2 |
| Farida MEGDOUD | Far left | 388 | 0.7 |
| Ahmed AACHBOUN | Left (NFP) | 178 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loiret — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Eure-et-Loir — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loir-et-Cher — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loiret — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loiret — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Eure-et-Loir — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated