Loiret — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loiret
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 28.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loiret — 5ème circonscription | 47.5% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 11.2% |
| Provincial averageLoiret | 42.3%+5.2 | 24.5%−5.6 | 17.3%−0.3 | 11.9%−0.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+11.5 | 29.0%−10.1 | 17.0% | 12.2%−1.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Anthony BROSSE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 28.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Lin LACAPELLE | RN and allies | 20,893 | 43.4 |
| Anthony BROSSE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,604 | 22.0 |
| Anne-Laure BOUTET | Left (NFP) | 9,524 | 19.8 |
| Benjamin QUELIN | LR and allies | 4,817 | 10.0 |
| Christine BIARDEAU | Others | 1,259 | 2.6 |
| Martine ROBERT | RN and allies | 651 | 1.4 |
| Céline SOTTEJEAU | Far left | 429 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loiret — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Essonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loiret — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Essonne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Seine-et-Marne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Loiret — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated