Loiret — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loiret
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loiret — 3ème circonscription | 47.6% | 31.5% | 17.7% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageLoiret | 42.3%+5.3 | 11.9%+19.6 | 24.5%−6.9 | 2.4%−0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+11.7 | 12.2%+19.3 | 29.0%−11.4 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Constance DE PÉLICHY · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 16.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathilde PARIS | RN and allies | 21,373 | 45.5 |
| Constance DE PÉLICHY Elected | LR and allies | 15,041 | 32.0 |
| Clément VERDE | Left (NFP) | 9,089 | 19.4 |
| Thomas MAURICE | RN and allies | 792 | 1.7 |
| Michel NAULIN | Far left | 648 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loiret — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Cher — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Loiret — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loiret — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loiret — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Cher — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated