Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Cher — 2ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Cher

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.8 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 44.6%
  • Left (NFP) 28.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 15.8%
  • LR and allies 7.6%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.3%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Cher — 2ème circonscription 44.6%28.8%15.8%7.6%
Provincial averageCher 44.8%−0.2 23.1%+5.6 23.3%−7.5 5.3%+2.3
National averageFrance 36.0%+8.6 29.0%−0.2 17.0%−1.2 12.2%−4.7

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Nicolas SANSU · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.8 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Bastian DUENAS RN and allies 17,246 40.6
Nicolas SANSU Elected Left (NFP) 12,621 29.7
Gabriel BEHAGHEL Centre (Ensemble) 8,857 20.8
Philippe BULTEAU LR and allies 2,705 6.4
Régis ROBIN Far left 580 1.4
Ludovic JAULIN RN and allies 508 1.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated