Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Cher — 3ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Cher

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 47.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 26.1%
  • Left (NFP) 16.3%
  • LR and allies 7.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%
  • Sovereignists 0.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Cher — 3ème circonscription 47.0%26.1%16.3%7.0%
Provincial averageCher 44.8%+2.3 23.3%+2.8 23.1%−6.8 5.3%+1.8
National averageFrance 36.0%+11.1 17.0%+9.1 29.0%−12.7 12.2%−5.2

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Loïc KERVRAN · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 20.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Pierre GENTILLET RN and allies 23,501 43.2
Loïc KERVRAN Elected Centre (Ensemble) 16,991 31.2
Emma MOREIRA Left (NFP) 9,334 17.1
Bénédicte DE CHOULOT LR and allies 3,178 5.8
Eric LOUGNON RN and allies 599 1.1
Eric BELLET Far left 568 1.0
Christa CHARTIER Sovereignists 290 0.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated