Nièvre — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nièvre
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nièvre — 1ère circonscription | 43.6% | 24.3% | 20.5% | 6.6% |
| Provincial averageNièvre | 45.6%−2.0 | 19.9%+4.4 | 23.0%−2.5 | 6.5%+0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.6 | 17.0%+7.3 | 29.0%−8.6 | 12.2%−5.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Perrine GOULET · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 19.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles-Henri GALLOIS | RN and allies | 18,870 | 40.8 |
| Perrine GOULET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,593 | 29.4 |
| Brice LARÈPE | Left (NFP) | 9,856 | 21.3 |
| Baptiste DUBOST | LR and allies | 2,482 | 5.4 |
| Geneviève LEMOINE | Far left | 809 | 1.8 |
| Chantal VARELA | Sovereignists | 628 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nièvre — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Yonne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Allier — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Cher — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Cher — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Yonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated