Yonne — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yonne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yonne — 1ère circonscription | 44.3% | 24.5% | 15.6% | 12.5% |
| Provincial averageYonne | 49.1%−4.8 | 22.6%+1.8 | 7.3%+8.2 | 16.4%−4.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+8.3 | 29.0%−4.6 | 12.2%+3.3 | 17.0%−4.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Daniel GRENON · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 19.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel GRENON Elected | RN and allies | 20,486 | 40.4 |
| Florence LOURY | Left (NFP) | 12,851 | 25.3 |
| Victor ALBRECHT | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,871 | 17.5 |
| Céline BÄHR | LR and allies | 7,303 | 14.4 |
| Sylvie MANIGAUT | Far left | 654 | 1.3 |
| Jean-Christophe LETIERCE | RN and allies | 542 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yonne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loiret — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Yonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nièvre — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nièvre — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated