Cher — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Cher
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 81% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.8 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 38%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cher — 1ère circonscription | 42.7% | 27.9% | 24.4% | 2.3% |
| Provincial averageCher | 44.8%−2.0 | 23.3%+4.6 | 23.1%+1.2 | 2.1%+0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+6.8 | 17.0%+10.9 | 29.0%−4.7 | 3.9%−1.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
François CORMIER-BOULIGEON · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ugo IANNUZZI | RN and allies | 18,100 | 39.9 |
| François CORMIER-BOULIGEON Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,961 | 33.0 |
| Hugo LEFELLE | Left (NFP) | 11,432 | 25.2 |
| Sylvie CERVEAU | Far left | 680 | 1.5 |
| Sandrine BELLON | Others | 149 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loiret — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Cher — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Cher — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loiret — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Loiret — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nièvre — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated