Allier — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Allier
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 59% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.6 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 82%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allier — 2ème circonscription | 38.1% | 27.6% | 23.2% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageAllier | 39.8%−1.6 | 27.8%−0.2 | 23.3%−0.1 | 5.8%+1.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.2 | 12.2%+15.4 | 29.0%−5.8 | 17.0%−9.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jorys BOVET · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 10.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorys BOVET Elected | RN and allies | 17,810 | 34.3 |
| Louise HERITIER | Left (NFP) | 12,482 | 24.1 |
| Romain LEFEBVRE | LR and allies | 10,204 | 19.7 |
| Laurence VANCEUNEBROCK | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,524 | 12.6 |
| Nicolas ROUSSEAUX | LR and allies | 3,548 | 6.8 |
| Bernard LEBEL | Far left | 802 | 1.6 |
| Alice GONÇALVES | RN and allies | 511 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Puy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Cher — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Allier — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Creuse — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated