Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Puy-de-Dôme
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 7%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription | 37.2% | 30.4% | 19.0% | 10.1% |
| Provincial averagePuy-de-Dôme | 33.2%+4.0 | 34.7%−4.3 | 16.1%+2.9 | 12.7%−2.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+8.2 | 36.0%−5.6 | 17.0%+2.0 | 12.2%−2.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Marianne MAXIMI · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 6.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marianne MAXIMI Elected | Left (NFP) | 20,841 | 38.1 |
| Louis CLEMENT | RN and allies | 15,025 | 27.5 |
| Hervé PRONONCE | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,156 | 24.1 |
| Sébastien GALPIER | LR and allies | 4,890 | 9.0 |
| Dominique LECLAIR | Far left | 733 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Puy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Allier — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Allier — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated