Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Puy-de-Dôme
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 87% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 23%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription | 35.3% | 25.8% | 22.3% | 13.1% |
| Provincial averagePuy-de-Dôme | 34.7%+0.6 | 33.2%−7.4 | 16.1%+6.2 | 12.7%+0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−0.7 | 29.0%−3.3 | 17.0%+5.3 | 12.2%+0.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Delphine LINGEMANN · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 9.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin CHALUS | RN and allies | 22,290 | 31.6 |
| Delphine LINGEMANN Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,299 | 27.4 |
| Valérie GOLÉO | Left (NFP) | 18,769 | 26.6 |
| Florence DUBESSY | LR and allies | 8,419 | 11.9 |
| François MAROTTE | Far left | 1,137 | 1.6 |
| Pascale SANCHEZ | RN and allies | 569 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Puy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Cantal — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated