Cantal — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Cantal
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantal — 2ème circonscription | 44.6% | 36.5% | 12.8% | 3.4% |
| Provincial averageCantal | 41.6%+2.9 | 35.3%+1.2 | 17.2%−4.4 | 3.0%+0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+32.3 | 36.0%+0.5 | 29.0%−16.2 | 17.0%−13.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean Yves BONY · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 8.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Yves BONY Elected | LR and allies | 12,383 | 34.3 |
| Gilles LACROIX | RN and allies | 11,923 | 33.0 |
| Zoé PÉBAY | Left (NFP) | 4,919 | 13.6 |
| Louis TOTY | LR and allies | 3,348 | 9.3 |
| Vladimir TILMANT-TATISCHEFF | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,019 | 8.4 |
| Mona CHEIKHI | Far left | 298 | 0.8 |
| Pascal VEYSSET-RAPAPORT | RN and allies | 220 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Cantal — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Aveyron — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated