Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscription | 39.7% | 34.9% | 18.7% | 3.3% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Loire | 38.8%+0.9 | 36.0%−1.0 | 18.3%+0.4 | 3.9%−0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+27.5 | 36.0%−1.1 | 29.0%−10.3 | 17.0%−13.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Pierre VIGIER · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 4.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Pierre VIGIER Elected | LR and allies | 21,573 | 38.7 |
| Suzanne Maryse Denise FOURETS | RN and allies | 17,885 | 32.1 |
| Andre Antoine Célestin CHAPAVEIRE | Left (NFP) | 10,898 | 19.5 |
| Patricia Pierrette GIRE-JOUBERT | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,607 | 8.3 |
| Antoine BREBION | Far left | 795 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Loire — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Lozère — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Loire — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated