Loire — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 89% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 23%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire — 6ème circonscription | 43.4% | 29.1% | 16.5% | 7.5% |
| Provincial averageLoire | 38.6%+4.8 | 21.6%+7.4 | 27.8%−11.3 | 8.4%−0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.4 | 12.2%+16.8 | 29.0%−12.5 | 17.0%−9.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Pierre TAITE · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grégoire GRANGER | RN and allies | 31,016 | 39.7 |
| Jean-Pierre TAITE Elected | LR and allies | 21,724 | 27.8 |
| Marie-Paule OLIVE | Left (NFP) | 13,472 | 17.2 |
| Alexandre SILVA | Centre (Ensemble) | 9,721 | 12.4 |
| Yves PETIOT | Far left | 720 | 0.9 |
| Norbert TRICHARD | Far left | 502 | 0.6 |
| Sandra HAURY | Greens | 480 | 0.6 |
| Yvan GUY-MERCIER | RN and allies | 470 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire — 5ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Loire — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated