Loire — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 9%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire — 2ème circonscription | 41.7% | 29.7% | 23.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageLoire | 27.8%+13.9 | 38.6%−8.9 | 21.6%+2.3 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+12.6 | 36.0%−6.3 | 12.2%+11.7 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Andrée TAURINYA · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 12.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrée TAURINYA Elected | Left (NFP) | 13,652 | 43.1 |
| Hervé BREUIL | RN and allies | 8,595 | 27.1 |
| Eric LE JAOUEN | LR and allies | 7,310 | 23.1 |
| Martial MOSSMANN | Centre (Ensemble) | 871 | 2.7 |
| Nathalie DOUSPIS | Greens | 650 | 2.1 |
| Sophie DIETERICH | Far left | 439 | 1.4 |
| Quentin FONTVIEILLE | Centre (Ensemble) | 162 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Loire — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Ardèche — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated