Rhône — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 71% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.6 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 57%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhône — 10ème circonscription | 35.1% | 27.4% | 22.8% | 12.0% |
| Provincial averageRhône | 29.2%+5.9 | 18.9%+8.5 | 36.0%−13.2 | 12.4%−0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−0.9 | 17.0%+10.4 | 29.0%−6.2 | 12.2%−0.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Thomas GASSILLOUD · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 7.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas GASSILLOUD Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 23,964 | 32.5 |
| Cecile PATOUT | RN and allies | 22,942 | 31.2 |
| Florence Janine Jacqueline PERRIN | Left (NFP) | 17,412 | 23.6 |
| Sophie CRUZ | LR and allies | 6,689 | 9.1 |
| David HORNUS | LR and allies | 1,296 | 1.8 |
| Irène BERENYI GELEY | RN and allies | 788 | 1.1 |
| Gilles BOMPARD | Far left | 551 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rhône — 12ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Rhône — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated