Rhône — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 28.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhône — 2ème circonscription | 48.6% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 8.9% |
| Provincial averageRhône | 36.0%+12.6 | 18.9%+1.2 | 29.2%−11.1 | 12.4%−3.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+19.6 | 17.0%+3.1 | 36.0%−17.9 | 12.2%−3.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Boris TAVERNIER · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 28.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boris TAVERNIER Elected | Left (NFP) | 28,567 | 49.7 |
| Loïc TERRENES | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,455 | 25.1 |
| Anaëlle BISLEAU | RN and allies | 8,228 | 14.3 |
| Maryll GUILLOTEAU | LR and allies | 4,456 | 7.7 |
| Karim MAHMOUD-VINTAM | Others | 731 | 1.3 |
| Vanessa ETENNE | RN and allies | 456 | 0.8 |
| Delphine BRIDAY | Far left | 297 | 0.5 |
| Pascal COULAN | Others | 148 | 0.3 |
| Michaël JOUTEUX | Far left | 133 | 0.2 |
| Nizar TOUIHRI | Others | 63 | 0.1 |
| Anthony BRUNO | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rhône — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 12ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Rhône — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated