Rhône — 12ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Rhône

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 58% chance of winning.

Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 75%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
Rhône — 12ème circonscription	29.2%	29.1%	23.8%	15.1%
Provincial averageRhône	36.0%−6.9	29.2%−0.1	18.9%+4.9	12.4%+2.6
National averageFrance	29.0%+0.1	36.0%−6.9	17.0%+6.8	12.2%+2.8

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Cyrille ISAAC-SIBILLE · Centre (Ensemble)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 0.1 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Lucie GAILLOT DURAND	Left (NFP)	18,039	30.1
Cyrille ISAAC-SIBILLE Elected	Centre (Ensemble)	17,333	28.9
Clémence LUISIER	RN and allies	14,989	25.0
Pascal CHARMOT	LR and allies	8,341	13.9
Noémie GALLICE	RN and allies	732	1.2
Cécile FAURITE	Far left	576	1.0

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.