Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Rhône — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Rhône

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 41.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 62.3%
  • RN and allies 21.0%
  • LR and allies 13.0%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Far left 1.0%
  • Greens 0.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies Others
Rhône — 6ème circonscription 62.3%21.0%13.0%2.1%
Provincial averageRhône 36.0%+26.3 29.2%−8.2 12.4%+0.5 2.2%−0.1
National averageFrance 29.0%+33.3 36.0%−15.0 12.2%+0.7 3.9%−1.8

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Gabriel AMARD · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 41.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Gabriel AMARD Elected Left (NFP) 26,876 46.2
Jean-Paul BRET Left (NFP) 11,628 20.0
Délia AGUS RN and allies 11,057 19.0
Marc FRAYSSE LR and allies 7,190 12.4
Joseph BASILIEN Greens 714 1.2
Nadia BOUHAMI Far left 453 0.8
Raphaëlle MIZONY Far left 183 0.3
Teyi Kekeli LAWSON DOUTE Others 127 0.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated