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Rhône — 3ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Rhône

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 32.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 50.8%
  • RN and allies 18.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 16.5%
  • LR and allies 10.5%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Greens 0.7%
  • Far left 0.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Rhône — 3ème circonscription 50.8%18.7%16.5%10.5%
Provincial averageRhône 36.0%+14.8 29.2%−10.5 18.9%−2.4 12.4%−2.0
National averageFrance 29.0%+21.8 36.0%−17.3 17.0%−0.5 12.2%−1.7

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Marie-Charlotte GARIN · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 32.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Marie-Charlotte GARIN Elected Left (NFP) 27,736 51.5
Clara EYNAUD-LASSALLE Centre (Ensemble) 11,557 21.5
Clotilde MORIN RN and allies 7,938 14.7
Béatrice DE MONTILLE LR and allies 4,464 8.3
Éric LAFOND Greens 688 1.3
Leo BOURRET LR and allies 501 0.9
Marie RILLY RN and allies 486 0.9
Jean-Noël DUDUKDJIAN Far left 260 0.5
Anaïs BARRALLON Far left 141 0.3
Marc CHINAL Others 71 0.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated