Rhône — 1ère circonscription

Legislative constituency · Rhône

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	RN and allies	LR and allies
Rhône — 1ère circonscription	41.9%	24.6%	21.9%	7.1%
Provincial averageRhône	36.0%+5.9	18.9%+5.7	29.2%−7.2	12.4%−5.4
National averageFrance	29.0%+12.9	17.0%+7.6	36.0%−14.0	12.2%−5.2

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Anaïs BELOUASSA-CHERIFI · Left (NFP)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 17.3 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Anaïs BELOUASSA-CHERIFI Elected	Left (NFP)	22,045	42.6
Thomas RUDIGOZ	Centre (Ensemble)	15,275	29.5
Laurent MOUTON	RN and allies	9,361	18.1
Grégory SANSOZ	LR and allies	3,005	5.8
Anne THIRIAT	Greens	1,165	2.3
Brandon ALVES	RN and allies	413	0.8
Jim BUGNI	Far left	353	0.7
Guillaume EYMERIC	Others	109	0.2
Ivanka LOPOUCHANSKY	Far left	2	0.0

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.