Rhône — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhône — 4ème circonscription | 37.3% | 26.1% | 22.0% | 11.6% |
| Provincial averageRhône | 36.0%+1.3 | 18.9%+7.2 | 29.2%−7.1 | 12.4%−0.8 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+8.2 | 17.0%+9.1 | 36.0%−13.9 | 12.2%−0.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sandrine RUNEL · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 11.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandrine RUNEL Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,959 | 38.0 |
| Anne BRUGNERA | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,744 | 31.0 |
| Yannick CHAUMONT | RN and allies | 10,818 | 17.9 |
| Romain BILLARD | LR and allies | 6,268 | 10.4 |
| Armande TORRENT | RN and allies | 655 | 1.1 |
| Julien QUEVY | Greens | 502 | 0.8 |
| Coralie LAURENT | Far left | 329 | 0.5 |
| Juliette VEL | Others | 143 | 0.2 |
| Tristan JEGO | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rhône — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 14ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated