Rhône — 5ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Rhône

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 63% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.8 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 58%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	Left (NFP)	LR and allies
Rhône — 5ème circonscription	29.8%	26.9%	25.6%	15.1%
Provincial averageRhône	29.2%+0.6	18.9%+8.0	36.0%−10.4	12.4%+2.7
National averageFrance	36.0%−6.2	17.0%+9.9	29.0%−3.4	12.2%+2.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Blandine BROCARD · Centre (Ensemble)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 2.8 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Blandine BROCARD Elected	Centre (Ensemble)	21,402	32.0
Fabrice MATTEUCCI	Left (NFP)	17,701	26.5
Sasha BITOUM	RN and allies	16,962	25.4
Bastien JOINT	LR and allies	9,321	14.0
Mathieu BAZIN	RN and allies	1,001	1.5
Hélène RIVIERE	Far left	410	0.6

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.