Cantal — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Cantal
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantal — 1ère circonscription | 38.7% | 34.1% | 21.6% | 2.7% |
| Provincial averageCantal | 41.6%−2.9 | 35.3%−1.2 | 17.2%+4.4 | 3.0%−0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+26.5 | 36.0%−1.9 | 29.0%−7.5 | 17.0%−14.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Vincent DESCOEUR · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 4.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent DESCOEUR Elected | LR and allies | 16,615 | 37.7 |
| Dorothée GALLAIS | RN and allies | 13,361 | 30.3 |
| Valérie RUEDA | Left (NFP) | 9,893 | 22.4 |
| Denis SABOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,377 | 7.7 |
| Rémy DAUVILLIER | Far left | 458 | 1.0 |
| Jean-Jacques BRUXELLE | RN and allies | 410 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Aveyron — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Cantal — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Aveyron — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Lot — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Corrèze — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Corrèze — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated