Lot — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Lot
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 7%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lot — 2ème circonscription | 37.8% | 33.2% | 21.9% | 4.6% |
| Provincial averageLot | 30.6%+7.2 | 30.0%+3.3 | 12.9%+9.0 | 3.3%+1.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+8.8 | 36.0%−2.7 | 17.0%+4.9 | 3.9%+0.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christophe PROENÇA · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 4.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe PROENÇA Elected | Left (NFP) | 18,079 | 38.2 |
| Gérard Raymond BLANCHET | RN and allies | 14,369 | 30.4 |
| Huguette TIEGNA | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,752 | 27.0 |
| Daniel PAGET | Others | 1,237 | 2.6 |
| Marie-Michèle VIAU | Far left | 607 | 1.3 |
| Rabah BOUGUERRA | Left (NFP) | 259 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Lot — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Corrèze — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Aveyron — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Tarn-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Cantal — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Tarn — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated