Vienne — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vienne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vienne — 2ème circonscription | 37.8% | 28.1% | 27.3% | 4.1% |
| Provincial averageVienne | 31.0%+6.7 | 26.7%+1.4 | 36.7%−9.4 | 2.0%+2.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+8.7 | 17.0%+11.1 | 36.0%−8.7 | 12.2%−8.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sacha HOULIÉ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 9.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacha HOULIÉ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,855 | 33.2 |
| Valérie SOUMAILLE | Left (NFP) | 16,254 | 28.6 |
| Estelle CHEVALLIER | RN and allies | 13,864 | 24.4 |
| Aurélien BOURDIER | Left (NFP) | 5,723 | 10.1 |
| Xavier AUGAY | LR and allies | 1,658 | 2.9 |
| Agnès CHAUVIN | Far left | 413 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vienne — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Vienne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vienne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription Greens, safe seat
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated