Vienne — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vienne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 93% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 14%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vienne — 4ème circonscription | 43.8% | 29.7% | 20.2% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageVienne | 36.7%+7.1 | 26.7%+3.0 | 31.0%−10.8 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.9 | 17.0%+12.7 | 29.0%−8.8 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Nicolas TURQUOIS · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hager JACQUEMIN | RN and allies | 19,268 | 41.0 |
| Nicolas TURQUOIS Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,076 | 32.1 |
| Yves TROUSSELLE | Left (NFP) | 9,901 | 21.1 |
| Patrick MINOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 1,263 | 2.7 |
| Sabine BORTOLOTTI | Sovereignists | 752 | 1.6 |
| Patrice VILLERET | Far left | 691 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vienne — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Vienne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Vienne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated