Vienne — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vienne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vienne — 1ère circonscription | 40.2% | 31.8% | 23.8% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageVienne | 31.0%+9.1 | 36.7%−4.9 | 26.7%−2.9 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+11.1 | 36.0%−4.2 | 17.0%+6.8 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Lisa BELLUCO · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 8.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa BELLUCO Elected | Left (NFP) | 18,232 | 33.1 |
| Emmanuelle DARLES | RN and allies | 15,918 | 28.9 |
| Séverine SAINT-PÉ | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,875 | 28.9 |
| Aurélien TRICOT | Left (NFP) | 4,399 | 8.0 |
| Ludovic GAILLARD | Far left | 599 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vienne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Vienne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vienne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription Greens, safe seat
- Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated