Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Charente-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 45.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Others | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription | 70.7% | 25.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageCharente-Maritime | 32.6%+38.1 | 40.2%−14.7 | 2.0%+0.1 | 5.3%−4.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+41.6 | 36.0%−10.4 | 3.9%−1.8 | 12.2%−11.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Olivier FALORNI · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 45.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier FALORNI Elected | Left (NFP) | 34,824 | 45.6 |
| Jean-Marc SOUBESTE | Left (NFP) | 22,618 | 29.6 |
| Emma CHAUVEAU | RN and allies | 17,278 | 22.7 |
| Nicolas FRANCOIS | RN and allies | 975 | 1.3 |
| Antoine COLIN | Far left | 430 | 0.6 |
| Philippe PERE | Others | 170 | 0.2 |
| Yasmina SAMRI | Left (NFP) | 2 | 0.0 |
| Françoise RAMEL | Others | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Charente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vendée — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vendée — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Vendée — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Vendée — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated