Vaucluse — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vaucluse
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaucluse — 5ème circonscription | 49.1% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 7.4% |
| Provincial averageVaucluse | 50.4%−1.3 | 26.2%+0.1 | 13.0%+2.2 | 7.2%+0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+13.1 | 29.0%−2.8 | 17.0%−1.8 | 12.2%−4.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Catherine RIMBERT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 22.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine RIMBERT Elected | RN and allies | 25,415 | 45.0 |
| Céline CELCE | Left (NFP) | 15,329 | 27.2 |
| Adrien MORENAS | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,454 | 20.3 |
| Martin LEFEVRE | LR and allies | 3,512 | 6.2 |
| Alexandre DESHAIES | RN and allies | 734 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vaucluse — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 15ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 14ème circonscription RN and allies, party favoured
- Forecast updated