Bouches-du-Rhône — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bouches-du-Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 26.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouches-du-Rhône — 8ème circonscription | 48.6% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 5.7% |
| Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône | 44.0%+4.6 | 14.1%+7.7 | 32.3%−12.9 | 5.9%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+12.6 | 17.0%+4.8 | 29.0%−9.7 | 12.2%−6.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Romain TONUSSI · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 26.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Romain TONUSSI Elected | RN and allies | 30,987 | 44.6 |
| Jean-Marc ZULESI | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,563 | 26.7 |
| Alexandre BEDDOCK | Left (NFP) | 13,938 | 20.1 |
| Stéphanie VOLPINI | LR and allies | 3,105 | 4.5 |
| Céline FANFAN | Greens | 1,882 | 2.7 |
| Jeanne VIGIER | RN and allies | 617 | 0.9 |
| Rémy BAZZALI | Far left | 342 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 15ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 13ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated