Bouches-du-Rhône — 12ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bouches-du-Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 34.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouches-du-Rhône — 12ème circonscription | 58.2% | 23.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône | 44.0%+14.2 | 32.3%−9.0 | 14.1%−5.2 | 5.9%+1.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+22.2 | 29.0%−5.8 | 17.0%−8.1 | 12.2%−5.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Franck ALLISIO · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 34.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franck ALLISIO Elected | RN and allies | 33,086 | 54.1 |
| Maryline CZURKA | Left (NFP) | 14,746 | 24.1 |
| Axel BRETON | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,508 | 13.9 |
| Maxime AGHEMO | LR and allies | 3,456 | 5.7 |
| Raymonde ZINI | RN and allies | 836 | 1.4 |
| François ROCHE | Far left | 561 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated