Bouches-du-Rhône — 13ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bouches-du-Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouches-du-Rhône — 13ème circonscription | 51.8% | 35.1% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône | 44.0%+7.8 | 32.3%+2.8 | 14.1%−6.7 | 2.1%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+15.8 | 29.0%+6.1 | 17.0%−9.7 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Emmanuel FOUQUART · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 16.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel FOUQUART Elected | RN and allies | 27,908 | 47.5 |
| Pierre DHARRÉVILLE | Left (NFP) | 21,147 | 36.0 |
| Lila LOKMANE | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,239 | 12.3 |
| Hervé DELESPAUL | Sovereignists | 934 | 1.6 |
| Olympe SCHEREDRE | RN and allies | 876 | 1.5 |
| Cyril METRAL | Far left | 613 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 16ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 15ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated