Vaucluse — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vaucluse
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 26.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaucluse — 2ème circonscription | 50.4% | 24.0% | 14.4% | 8.1% |
| Provincial averageVaucluse | 50.4%+0.1 | 26.2%−2.2 | 13.0%+1.4 | 7.2%+0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+14.5 | 29.0%−5.0 | 17.0%−2.6 | 12.2%−4.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Bénédicte AUZANOT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 26.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bénédicte AUZANOT Elected | RN and allies | 26,667 | 46.0 |
| Patrick BLANES | Left (NFP) | 14,421 | 24.9 |
| Sylvie VIALA | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,260 | 19.4 |
| Dominique BROGI | LR and allies | 4,008 | 6.9 |
| Julien LANGARD | RN and allies | 999 | 1.7 |
| Gérard MANGIAVILLANO | Far left | 590 | 1.0 |
| José-Angel SANCHEZ | Others | 84 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vaucluse — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 15ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated