Vaucluse — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vaucluse
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaucluse — 3ème circonscription | 57.5% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
| Provincial averageVaucluse | 50.4%+7.1 | 26.2%−6.3 | 13.0%−1.0 | 7.2%+0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+21.5 | 29.0%−9.2 | 17.0%−5.0 | 12.2%−4.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Hervé DE LÉPINAU · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 37.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hervé DE LÉPINAU Elected | RN and allies | 28,153 | 53.5 |
| Muriel DUENAS | Left (NFP) | 10,895 | 20.7 |
| Souad ZITOUNI | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,947 | 17.0 |
| Christophe TONNAIRE | LR and allies | 3,284 | 6.2 |
| Bertrand HELLEU | Far left | 671 | 1.3 |
| Louis ROUSSEL | RN and allies | 662 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vaucluse — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 15ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vaucluse — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated