Var — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Var
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Var — 8ème circonscription | 56.3% | 19.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Provincial averageVar | 54.4%+1.8 | 16.7%+2.5 | 15.5%−4.7 | 8.3%+2.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+20.3 | 29.0%−9.8 | 17.0%−6.2 | 12.2%−1.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Philippe SCHRECK · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 37.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe SCHRECK Elected | RN and allies | 38,433 | 53.6 |
| Sarah BREFFY | Left (NFP) | 14,420 | 20.1 |
| Rayann MOUSLIM | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,368 | 15.8 |
| Frank PANIZZI | LR and allies | 6,639 | 9.3 |
| Ludovic MARTIN | Far left | 915 | 1.3 |
| Francis COMBE | Others | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Alpes-de-Haute-Provence — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated